CI
Couchbase, Inc. (BASE)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY26 revenue was $57.6M, up 12% YoY and above both the company’s Q2 guidance ($54.4–$55.2M) and Wall Street consensus; EPS also beat consensus as non-GAAP net loss per share was $(0.02) versus an estimated $(0.064). Management stated “all metrics exceeded the high end of our outlook.” [functions.GetEstimates]*
- ARR reached $260.5M (+22% YoY as reported; +21% constant currency) and dollar-based NRR returned to >115%, signaling healthy expansions and consumption trends.
- Gross margin was 87.2% (non-GAAP 88.2%); non-GAAP operating loss improved to $(2.6)M from $(4.1)M a year ago, though GAAP operating loss increased due to business development charges and stock-based comp.
- Couchbase did not host an earnings call or provide guidance with Q2 results due to the pending acquisition by Haveli Investments; the announced deal is for $24.50 per share in cash (~$1.5B). Potential stock reaction is anchored by the merger consideration and closing milestones.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Beat vs Street and guidance: Revenue and non-GAAP EPS exceeded the high end of company outlook and beat consensus; management highlighted “a great second quarter with all metrics exceeding the high end of our outlook.” [functions.GetEstimates]*
- Strong subscription engine and durable KPIs: Subscription revenue grew 12% YoY to $55.4M; ARR rose to $260.5M (+22% YoY) and NRR returned to >115%.
- Ecosystem/product momentum in AI: New analytics for self-managed customers, AWS Marketplace AI Agents category placement, Google MCP Toolbox support, K2view synthetic data, and the Confluent Cloud connector expand AI agent and event-driven application use cases.
Quote: “We had a great second quarter with all metrics exceeding the high end of our outlook.” – Matt Cain, Chair, President & CEO.
What Went Wrong
- GAAP operating loss widened to $(25.4)M (vs $(21.0)M a year ago) driven by business development activities and stock-based compensation, despite improving non-GAAP operating loss to $(2.6)M.
- Free cash flow remained negative at $(7.3)M (vs $(5.9)M last year) as capital expenditures increased to $3.8M.
- Gross margin compressed sequentially to 87.2% (from 87.9% in Q1 and 88.6% in Q4), reflecting mix and cost dynamics.
Financial Results
Segment revenue mix:
KPIs:
Results vs S&P Global consensus (Q2 FY2026):
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: Couchbase did not host an earnings call for Q2 due to the Haveli transaction.
Management Commentary
- “We had a great second quarter with all metrics exceeding the high end of our outlook.” – Matt Cain, Chair, President & CEO.
- “Given the announced transaction, we will not be hosting an earnings conference call nor providing financial guidance in conjunction with this press release.”
- Q1 context: “Capella now represents 17.4% of our total ARR… momentum continued… Capella ARR… +84% year-to-year.” – Interim CFO Bill Carey.
- Q1 context: “We delivered first-quarter ARR… exceeded the high end of our guidance ranges… continued Capella adoption… pipeline of large strategic opportunities continues to grow.” – Matt Cain.
Q&A Highlights
From Q1 FY26 call:
- ARR vs revenue dynamics: Migrations to Capella shift recognition patterns, creating near-term revenue lag versus ARR, with convergence expected next year; services revenue decline also noted.
- Go-to-market and developer funnel: Free Capella tier and starter packs driving trials and top-of-funnel demand; leadership emphasized better TCO versus rivals.
- Competitive positioning: Differentiation versus Postgres alternatives via architecture (memory-first, JSON-native, embedded vector) for critical applications.
- Capella consumption and strategic accounts: Strong consumption growth; strategic expansions across large enterprises underpin ARR durability.
- Guidance clarifications: Raised FY26 revenue/ARR outlook and lowered operating loss in Q1; noted FX tailwinds/headwinds in outlook components.
Estimates Context
- Revenue beat: Actual $57.57M vs Street $55.15M (beat by ~$2.4M). [functions.GetEstimates]*
- EPS beat: Actual non-GAAP $(0.02) vs Street $(0.064) (beat by ~$0.044). [functions.GetEstimates]*
- Implications: Consensus models likely need upward revisions to subscription revenue trajectory and modestly improved non-GAAP operating loss path; GAAP margins remain sensitive to SBC and deal-related items (business development activities).
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Couchbase delivered a clean revenue and EPS beat vs guidance and Street; subscription growth, ARR momentum, and NRR >115% underscore durable demand and consumption-led expansion. [functions.GetEstimates]*
- Non-GAAP profitability improved YoY, but GAAP loss widened due to business development charges and stock-based comp; watch ongoing mix effects on GAAP margins.
- Capella adoption, AI ecosystem integrations (AWS AI Agents, Google MCP Toolbox), and data movement (Confluent Cloud connector) are strategic levers for multi-year expansion.
- Near-term trading is primarily driven by Haveli deal mechanics ($24.50 cash consideration), closing timeline, and regulatory/shareholder milestones rather than quarterly guidance (withdrawn).
- Model updates: Raise Q2 actuals and consider higher subscription run-rate; maintain caution on sequential gross margin and free cash flow given capex and migration dynamics.
- Narrative: Platform differentiation in critical applications and AI agents remains intact; ARR–revenue timing gap persists with migrations but is expected to converge over the next year per prior commentary.
- Watch governance/leadership transitions (CEO/CFO appointments post-quarter) and integration steps under Haveli to assess continuity in product roadmap and go-to-market execution.